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摘要:
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目的:探讨急性缺血性脑卒中(acute ischemic stroke,AIS)患者水通道蛋白4(AQP-4)、巨噬细胞炎性蛋白-1α(MIP-1α)、补体C1q/肿瘤坏死因子相关蛋白12(CTRP12)的多时间窗动态时序规律及其与神经功能恶化轨迹的关联,构建风险分层与预测模型。方法:纳入2023年1月至2024年6月唐山中心医院收治的100例24 h内发病的AIS患者,其中58例符合溶栓指征并接受重组组织型纤溶酶原激活剂治疗(治疗组),42例因超过溶栓时间窗或存在溶栓禁忌证未接受溶栓治疗(未治疗组),采集发病后10个时间窗(3 h、6 h、12 h、24 h、36 h、48 h、3 d、7 d、14 d、30 d)的3个因子生物标志物数据。未治疗组给予抗血小板聚集、降脂稳斑、控制血压血糖等常规治疗。采用线性混合效应模型分析时序变化规律,基于时间序列聚类算法对神经功能恶化风险分层,应用多变量回归及时依协变量生存分析构建预测模型,动态评估3个因子与美国国立卫生研究院卒中量表(NIHSS)评分的相关性。结果:全体患者AQP-4发病后36 h达峰(45.3±7.1)pg·mL-1,30 d时仍维持(24.1±4.2)pg·mL-1;MIP-1α发病后6 h达峰(52.3±7.8)pg·mL-1,30 d时保持(24.7±3.9)pg·mL-1;CTRP12发病后48 h降至最低(8.0±1.0)pg·mL-1后恢复至(13.5±2.2)pg·mL-1。3个因子各时间窗组间差异均有统计学意义(均P<0.05)。重组组织型纤溶酶原激活剂治疗可显著抑制AQP-4与MIP-1α的急性期升高[在神经功能恶化患者中,未治疗组T3时间窗AQP-4质量浓度为(33.5±7.1)pg·mL-1,治疗组为(20.5±4.6)pg·mL-1;未治疗组T2 时间窗MIP-1α质量浓度为(132.5±27.3)pg·mL-1,治疗组为(85.7±19.3)pg·mL-1。两时间点比较,均P<0.05]。聚类分析识别出3类恶化风险亚群(聚类1:28例,聚类2:42例,聚类3:30例),其中"高水肿-高炎症-低修复"表型恶化风险最高。多变量回归模型显示T1时AQP-4(r=0.68)、MIP-1α(r=0.72)与NIHSS评分呈强正相关,CTRP12(r=-0.58)呈负相关,调整R2=0.45;3个因子质量浓度拐点与神经功能转折高度同步。结论:AQP-4、MIP-1 α及CTRP12的时序动态变化可反映血脑屏障损伤、炎症反应及修复进程,其峰值与谷值拐点与神经功能转折同步,为预后评估及精准干预提供关键时间节点。 |
Objective: To explore the multi-time-window dynamic variation characteristics of aquaporin 4(AQP-4), macrophage inflammatory protein-1α(MIP-1α), and complement C1q/tumor necrosis factor-related protein 12(CTRP12) in patients with acute ischemic stroke(AIS), analyze their association with neurological deterioration trajectory, and to construct a risk stratification and prediction model. Methods: A total of 100 patients with AIS with symptom onset within 24 hours admitted to Tangshan Central Hospital from January 2023 to June 2024 were enrolled. Among them, 58 patients meeting thrombolysis indications received recombinant tissue-type plasminogen activator(rt-PA) therapy(treatment group), while 42 patients beyond the thrombolysis time window or with thrombolytic contraindications did not undergo thrombolysis(untreated group). Peripheral blood samples were collected to detect the three biomarkers at 10 time windows after onset: 3 h, 6 h, 12 h, 24 h, 36 h, 48 h, 3 d, 7 d, 14 d and 30 d. The untreated group received conventional regimens including antiplatelet therapy, lipid-lowering and plaque-stabilizing treatment, as well as blood pressure and glycemic control. Linear mixed-effects models were adopted to analyze the temporal variation trends of biomarkers. Time-series clustering algorithms were used to stratify patients by neurological deterioration risk. Multivariate regression and time-dependent covariate survival analysis were performed to build predictive models, and the dynamic correlation between the three biomarkers and the National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS) scores was quantified. Results: For all subjects, serum AQP-4 peaked at 36 h at(45.3±7.1) pg·mL-1 and sustained at(24.1±4.2) pg·mL-1 on day 30; MIP-1α reached the peak concentration of(52.3±7.8) pg·mL-1 at 6 h, with a residual level of(24.7±3.9) pg·mL-1 at day 30; CTRP12 declined to the trough value of(8.0±1.0) pg·mL-1 at 48 h and then rebounded to(13.5±2.2) pg·mL-1. Intergroup differences at all time windows were statistically significant(P<0.05). rt-PA thrombolysis markedly suppressed the acute upregulation of AQP-4 and MIP-1α. Among patients complicated with neurological deterioration, T3(24 h) AQP-4 was(33.5±7.1) pg·mL-1 in the untreated group versus(20.5±4.6) pg·mL-1 in the treatment group; T2(12 h) MIP-1α was(132.5±27.3) pg·mL-1 in the untreated group versus(85.7±19.3) pg·mL-1 in the treatment group(all P<0.05). Clustering analysis categorized patients into three deterioration risk subgroups(Cluster 1:28 cases; Cluster 2:42 cases; Cluster 3: 30 cases). The phenotype of severe edema-excessive inflammation-insufficient repair carried the highest risk of neurological worsening. Multivariate regression models revealed that at T1(6 h), AQP-4(r=0.68) and MIP-1α(r=0.72) were strongly positively correlated with NIHSS scores, whereas CTRP12(r=-0.58) presented a negative correlation(adjusted R2=0.45). The concentration inflection points of the three biomarkers were highly synchronized with neurological function turning points. Conclusion: The temporal dynamic fluctuations of AQP-4, MIP-1α and CTRP12 can objectively reflect the progression of blood-brain barrier injury, inflammatory cascade and endogenous neurorepair after AIS. The peak and trough inflection points of the three biomarkers are consistent with the turning points of neurological function, which can provide critical time nodes for early prognostic assessment and individualized precise intervention. |
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