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CEUS参数联合血清CEA、AFP在肝脏结节良恶性诊断中的应用价值
作者:吴萍1  周敏1  张雅娟2 
单位:1. 南京市浦口区中医院, 江苏 南京 211800;
2. 高邮市人民医院, 江苏 高邮 225600
关键词:超声造影 肝脏 结节 拟合曲线尖度 造影剂 
分类号:R735.7;R445.1
出版年·卷·期(页码):2026·45·第三期(483-491)
摘要:

目的: 探究超声造影(CEUS)参数联合血清癌胚抗原(CEA)、甲胎蛋白(AFP)诊断肝脏结节良恶性的价值。方法: 选取2022年1月至2024年12月南京市浦口区中医院116例肝脏结节性病变患者为训练集,按照1∶1比例,选取2025年1月至2025年9月南京市浦口区中医院116例肝脏结节性病变患者为验证集。训练集根据肝穿刺组织活检结果分为恶性组(恶性肝脏结节,n=92)和良性组(良性肝脏结节,n=24)。比较两组基线资料、CEUS参数[造影剂到达时间(AT)、达峰时间(TTP)、峰值强度(PI)、拟合曲线尖度、消退时间以及血清CEA、AFP水平,采用受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线、校准曲线、决策曲线分析CEUS参数、血清肿瘤标志物单独诊断肝脏结节良恶性的价值,将CEUS参数联合血清CEA、AFP构建联合模型,分析联合模型诊断肝脏结节良恶性的效能。结果: 恶性组AT、PI均较良性组高,TTP、拟合曲线尖度、消退时间均较良性组低,血清CEA、AFP水平均较良性组高(P<0.05);AT、TTP、PI、拟合曲线尖度、消退时间以及血清CEA、AFP单独诊断肝脏结节良恶性的ROC曲线下面积(AUC)分别为0.830、0.738、0.802、0.782、0.775、0.776、0.786;基于CEUS参数联合血清CEA、AFP构建联合Logistic回归模型,以该模型生成的预测概率Logit(P)作为联合诊断指标,ROC曲线分析显示,联合模型诊断肝脏结节良恶性的AUC为0.916(95%CI:0.850~0.960),敏感度为84.78%,特异度为87.50%;联合模型诊断的AUC明显大于AT、TTP、PI、拟合曲线尖度、消退时间以及血清CEA、AFP单独诊断的AUC(P<0.05)。Bootstrap法验证显示联合模型的诊断结果与实际结果贴合度Dxy值=0.901,Hosmer-Lemeshow检验显示P=0.770,校准度较高,决策曲线分析显示联合模型临床效用良好;外部验证显示,联合模型诊断肝脏结节良恶性的AUC为0.880(95%CI:0.803~0.956),敏感度为77.78%,特异度为75.28%,联合模型的诊断结果与实际结果贴合度Dxy值=0.862,Hosmer-Lemeshow检验显示P=0.739,联合模型临床效用良好。结论: 肝脏良、恶性结节患者CEUS参数及血清CEA、AFP均存在明显差异,AT、TTP、PI、拟合曲线尖度、消退时间与血清CEA、AFP联合应用有利于提高对肝脏结节性病变良恶性的诊断价值。

Objective: To explore the value of contrast-enhanced ultrasound(CEUS) parameters combined with serum carcinoembryonic antigen(CEA) and alpha-fetoprotein(AFP) in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules. Methods: A total of 116 patients with liver nodular lesions(training set) in Nanjing Pukou District Hospital of Traditional Chinese Medicine from January 2022 to December 2024 were selected, 116 patients with liver nodular lesions(validation set) from January 2025 to September 2025 were selected by 1∶1 ratio. The patients in training set were divided into malignant group(malignant liver nodules, n=92) and benign group(benign liver nodules, n=24) according to the results of liver biopsy. The baseline data, CEUS parameters [contrast agent arrival time(AT), time to peak(TTP), peak intensity(PI), fitting curve sharpness, regression time], serum CEA and AFP levels were compared between the two groups. The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve, calibration curve and decision curve were used to analyze the value of CEUS parameters and serum tumor markers in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules. The CEUS quantitative parameters combined with serum CEA and AFP were used to construct a combined model, and the efficacy of the combined model in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules was analyzed. Results: The AT and PI in the malignant group were higher than those in the benign group, the TTP, the sharpness of the fitting curve and the regression time were lower than those in the benign group, and the serum CEA and AFP levels were higher than those in the benign group(P<0.05). The area under the ROC curve(AUC) of AT, TTP, PI, fitting curve sharpness, regression time, serum CEA and AFP in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules were 0.830,0.738,0.802,0.782,0.775,0.776 and 0.786, respectively. Based on CEUS parameters combined with serum CEA and AFP, a combined Logistic regression model was constructed. The prediction probability Logit(P) generated by the model was used as the combined diagnostic index. ROC curve analysis showed that the AUC of the combined model in the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules was 0.916(95%CI: 0.850-0.960 ), the sensitivity was 84.78%, and the specificity was 87.50%. The AUC of combined model was significantly greater than that of AT, TTP, PI, fitting curve sharpness, regression time, serum CEA and AFP alone(P<0.05). The Bootstrap method showed that the diagnostic results of the combined model were consistent with the actual results(Dxy value=0.901), and the Hosmer-Lemeshow test showed that P=0.770, the calibration degree was high, and the decision curve analysis showed that the combined model had good clinical efficacy. External validation showed that the AUC of the combined model for the diagnosis of benign and malignant liver nodules was 0.880(95%CI: 0.803-0.956), the sensitivity was 77.78%, and the specificity was 75.28%. The diagnostic results of the combined model were in good agreement with the actual results(Dxy value=0.862, Hosmer-Lemeshow test P=0.739), and the clinical efficacy of the combined model was good. Conclusion: There are significant differences in CEUS quantitative parameters, serum CEA and AFP between patients with benign and malignant liver nodules. The combined application of AT, TTP, PI, fitting curve sharpness, regression time and serum CEA and AFP is helpful to improve the diagnostic value of benign and malignant liver nodules.

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